崛起国对外策略中的大国与周边

国际政治科学

2020, Vol. 05

Issue (01): 90-129

本期目录 | 过刊浏览

崛起国对外策略中的大国与周边

王震,高程

全文: PDF(1376 KB) HTML
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

摘要:

大国崛起的外部环境影响大国自身的策略选择。在崛起国处于域外霸权国干预和域内大国竞争的情形下，本文分析了崛起国的崛起路径。笔者认为，在上述模式下，大国实现崛起，一方面要成功处理与霸权国和区域内其他行为体的关系，采用威慑、妥协等组合策略规避、瓦解对抗联盟或化解两者单独进攻的制衡；另一方面要设定科学、合理的崛起边界，将主要资源集中在核心竞争区域，经营好崛起所依托的周边地区。本文以古代东亚地区的唐朝和古希腊地区的雅典为案例检验了这一假设，并对当前中国的崛起路径进行了尝试性探讨。

关键词 ：大国崛起, 大国关系, 崛起边界, 唐朝, 雅典

出版日期: 2020-02-17

作者简介: 王震，中国社会科学院研究生院博士研究生。邮箱：wangzhensky17@163.com|高程，中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院研究员。邮箱：gaocheng@cass.org.cn

	服务

	把本文推荐给朋友
	加入引用管理器
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	作者相关文章
	王震
	高程
44.8K

引用本文:

王震,高程. 崛起国对外策略中的大国与周边[J]. 国际政治科学, 2020, 05(01): 90-129.

链接本文:

http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2020/V05/I01/90

表1 崛起国面临的崛起压力情境

图1 </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="25" class="J_zhaiyao"> <a class="figureClass" href="http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/fileup/2096-1545/FIGURE/2020-05-01/Images/image/101393D-2020-01-090-F002.jpg" > <img src="http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/fileup/2096-1545/FIGURE/2020-05-01/Images/image/thumbnail/101393D-2020-01-090-F002.jpg" align="middle" border=0> </a> </td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top" align="left"> 图2 <title/> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="25" class="J_zhaiyao"> <a class="figureClass" href="http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/fileup/2096-1545/FIGURE/2020-05-01/Images/image/101393D-2020-01-090-F003.jpg" > <img src="http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/fileup/2096-1545/FIGURE/2020-05-01/Images/image/thumbnail/101393D-2020-01-090-F003.jpg" align="middle" border=0> </a> </td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top" align="left"> 图3 <title/> </td> </tr> </table> </div> </div> <div class="tab-pane text-left" id="tab3"> <div id="ReferenceTab"> <table width="98%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="8"> <tr> <td class="J_author"> <table width="98%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="8"></table></td> </tr> </table> </div> </div> <div class="tab-pane text-left" id="tab5"> <div id="RelatedCitationTab"> <table width="98%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="8" valign='top' height='auto'> <tr> <td valign='top'> <table width="100%" border="0" height='25'> <tr> <td width="30" valign='top'>[1]</td> <td class="J_zhaiyao" style="line-height:150%" valign='top'>李隽旸. <a href="http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/" target="_blank" class="txt_zhaiyao"><strong>西西里远征：过度扩张的政治经济学</strong></a>[J]. 国际政治科学, 2017, 2(4): 28-67.</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="30" valign='top'>[2]</td> <td class="J_zhaiyao" style="line-height:150%" valign='top'>李莉. <a href="http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/101393D-2017-1-002" target="_blank" class="txt_zhaiyao"><strong>印度偏离不结盟及其动因分析</strong></a>[J]. 国际政治科学, 2017, 2(1): 1-35.</td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> </table> </div> </div> <div class="tab-pane text-left hidden-md hidden-sm hidden-xs" id="tab6"> <div id="MetricsTab"> <table width="98%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td width="24" height="32"></td> <td colspan="2" bgcolor="#E0EEF7"><span class="STYLE1">Viewed</span></td> </tr> <tr> <td width="24" height="5"></td> <td colspan="2" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="153"></td> <td width="110" valign="top" bgcolor="#EFEFEF" style="line-height:150%"> <strong>Full text</strong><br /> <span class="STYLE2"><div id="FullText"></div></span> </td> <td valign="top"> <table width="63%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td><div id="HtmlPdfVersion"></div></td> </tr> </table> <br /> <table width="63%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td colspan="3"><div id="FromHtmlPdf"></div></td> </tr> </table> <br /> <div id="DownloadDistribution"></div> <div id="DownloadCountryDistribution"></div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td></td> <td colspan="2" height=5></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="158"></td> <td valign="top" bgcolor="#efefef" style="line-height:150%"> <strong>Abstract</strong><br> <span class="STYLE2"><div id="AbstractCount"></div></span> </td> <td valign="top"> <table width="40%" height="52" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td><div id="AbstractVersion"></div></td> </tr> <tr> <td><div id="FromAbstract"></div></td> </tr> </table> <br /> <div id="AbstractDistribution"></div> <div id="AbstractCountryDistribution"></div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td></td> <td colspan="2" height=5></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="30"></td> <td bgcolor="#E0EEF7"><p><strong>Cited</strong></p></td> <td> <div id="citations"></div> </td> </tr> <tr> <td height="8"></td> <td height="8"></td> <td height="8"></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="31"> </td> <td bgcolor="#E0EEF7"><strong>Shared</strong></td> <td><strong> <a class="shareCount"></a></strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="5"></td> <td></td> <td></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="31"> </td> <td bgcolor="#E0EEF7"><strong>Discussed</strong></td> <td width="973" style="padding-left: 20px;"> <div class='altmetric-embed' data-doi=''></div></td> </tr> </table> </div> </div> </div> </div>  </td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> </table> <div id="pdfview_tab_content"> <table width="98%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" bgcolor="#ffffff"> <tr> <td height="25"> </td> </tr> </table> </div> </td> </tr> </table> </div> </div>  <div class="footer"> <div class="footer_c center row"> <div class="gywm col-sm-3 col-xs-12"> <h3>关于我们</h3> <ul> <li><a href="../column/column351.shtml">期刊介绍</a></li> <li><a href="../column/column356.shtml">期刊订阅</a></li> <li><a href="../column/column357.shtml">学术活动</a></li> <li><a href="../column/column359.shtml">系统使用常用问题</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="lxwm col-sm-6 col-xs-12"> <h3>联系我们</h3> <p>地址：北京市海淀区清华大学明斋308室 100084<p> <p>电话：（010）62798183</p> <p>传真：（010）62773173</p> <p style="word-break:break-all;">E-mail：cjip@mail.tsinghua.edu.cn</p> </div> <div class="gzwm col-sm-3 col-xs-12"> <img src="http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/images/2096-1545/2015.png"> </div> </div> </div>  <iframe src="http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/article/updateBrowseNum.jsp?articleid=154248" height=0 scrolling=no border=0 frameborder=0 allowtransparency="true"></iframe> </body> </html> <script type="text/javascript"> var hash = window.location.hash; if(hash=="#MetricsTab"){ loadMetricsTabc(); } $(function() { $('#container').tabs(1); }); $("#MetricsTabC").click(function(){ loadMetricsTabc(); }); function loadMetricsTabc(){ $("#FullText").load("http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=FullText"); $("#HtmlPdfVersion").load("http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=HtmlPdfVersion"); $("#FromHtmlPdf").load("http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=FromHtmlPdf"); $("#AbstractVersion").load("http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=AbstractVersion"); $("#AbstractCount").load("http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=AbstractCount"); $("#FromAbstract").load("http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=FromAbstract"); $("#citations").load("http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=citations"); $("#DownloadDistribution").empty(); $("#DownloadDistribution").append("<iframe src=\"http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=DownloadDistribution\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\" scrolling=no frameborder=0 allowtransparency=\"true\" style=\"padding: 20\"></iframe>"); $("#DownloadCountryDistribution").empty(); $("#DownloadCountryDistribution").append("<iframe src=\"http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=DownloadCountryDistribution\" width=\"550\" height=\"300\" scrolling=no frameborder=0 allowtransparency=\"true\"></iframe>"); $("#AbstractDistribution").empty(); $("#AbstractDistribution").append("<iframe src=\"http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=AbstractDistribution\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\" scrolling=no frameborder=0 allowtransparency=\"true\" style=\"padding: 20\"></iframe>"); $("#AbstractCountryDistribution").empty(); $("#AbstractCountryDistribution").append("<iframe src=\"http://qjip.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/matrix/matrix.do?articleId=154248&type=AbstractCountryDistribution\" width=\"550\" height=\"300\" scrolling=no frameborder=0 allowtransparency=\"true\" style=\"padding: 20\"></iframe>"); } //图表选项卡中弹出表 $(document).ready(function () { jQuery(".table-icon").click(function(e) { var _this = jQuery(this); var _t = e.pageY; var _l = e.pageX; var _topTable =$("."+_this.attr("id")+""); if(_topTable.length == 0) { return; } var _bg_div = jQuery("<div class=\"bg_div\"></div>").appendTo("body"); _bg_div.css("height", jQuery(document).height()); var _topTable = jQuery('<div><table id="topTable" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><tr><td>' + _topTable.html() + '</td></tr></table></div>').appendTo('body') _topTable.attr('style', 'z-index:10001;position: absolute;cursor: pointer;margin: 5px;padding: 0px;border: 1px solid #CCCCCC;outline: 5px solid #F0F0F0;background:#FFF') var _width = _topTable.width(); var _win_width = jQuery(window).width() - 100; if(_win_width > 800){ _win_width = 800; } if(_width < 260){ _width =260; } if(_width > _win_width){ _width = _win_width; _topTable.css("width", _width); } var _height = _topTable.height(); var _win_height = jQuery(window).height() - 100; if(_height > _win_height){ _height = _win_height; _topTable.css("width", _height); _topTable.css("overflow-y", "scroll"); } var _top = (jQuery(window).height() - _height) / 2 + jQuery(document).scrollTop(); var _left = (jQuery(window).width() - _width) / 2 + jQuery(document).scrollLeft(); _topTable.css("left", _l); _topTable.css("top", _t); _topTable.css("width", "0px"); _topTable.css("height", "0px"); _topTable.animate({left: _left, top: _top, width: _width, height: _height+30}, { duration: 400, complete: function(){ jQuery('<div id="top_layer_close" class="top_layer_close" title="Close"></div>').appendTo('body'); var _offset_width = parseInt(_topTable.css("margin-left")) + parseInt(_topTable.css("margin-right")); jQuery("#top_layer_close").css("left", _left + _width + _offset_width - 6).css("top", _top - 10); jQuery("#top_layer_close").click(function(e) { var _c_top = jQuery(window).height() / 2 + jQuery(document).scrollTop(); var _c_left = jQuery(window).width() / 2 + jQuery(document).scrollLeft(); jQuery("#top_layer_close").remove(); _topTable.animate({left: _c_left, top: _c_top, width: '0px', height: '0px'}, { duration: 300, complete: function(){ _bg_div.remove(); _topTable.css("display", "none"); _topTable.remove(); }}); }); }}); }); jQuery(".table_content").each(function(){ var _this = jQuery(this); var firstTR = _this.children('table').children("thead").children("tr"); //firstTR.attr('style', 'border-top:1px solid #000;border-bottom:1px solid #000;') //表头 jQuery(firstTR.children("td")).each(function(){ var td = jQuery(this); td.attr('style', 'border-top:1px solid #000;border-bottom:1px solid #000;') }); //最后一行tr var tbody = _this.children('table').children("tbody"); //tbody.find("tr:last").attr('style', 'border-bottom:1px solid #000;') jQuery(tbody.find("tr:last").children("td")).each(function(){ var lastTD = jQuery(this); lastTD.attr('style', 'border-bottom:1px solid #000;') }); }); }); </script>